Astros Take 2 of 3 from A's, on to LA
Progress in fits and starts
Editor’s Note: Due to my travel schedule over the next week, updates may be sporadic and may fall outside the typical schedule.
The Astros won the first two games against the A’s and my son and I were at both games.
Over the three games, Houston outscored the A’s 18-8, after a 13-run explosion on Saturday, and currently project to 74 wins.
Updated Projections
The team is 3-3 in June with a 4.83 ERA and 4.83 FIP, including 6.14 ERA for the starters and 3.28 for the bullpen.
Meanwhile, the bats slashed .272/.344/.455, with 7 home runs and scoring 36 runs (6.0 per game).
The bullpen has improved a lot, at least ERA-wise, with De Los Santos (3 appearances), Hader (2), Okert (3) and King (2), all rocking 0.00 ERAs for June in a combined 10 appearances.
Record by Starting Pitcher
Burrows continues to be a drag.
Quality Starts
No quality starts since the last update and with 17 quality starts after 67 games, Houston is on pace for 41 quality starts on the season, after averaging 71 over the last three seasons.
That is not a recipe for making the post season.
Game Scores
Realizing those numbers may not mean much to some readers, I’m attempting to present them in an easier-to-understand format.
So, I’ve converted the scores into letter grades, as you’d get in school.
This is a work in progress, not a final output, as you’re seeing me work through it in real time.
Win Shares (not fWAR)
Add all these together, and you get a net of 30, which is the number of wins the Astros currently have.
It’s Yordan’s world, and it’s not close.
If you’re calculating at home, Yordan has been worth 31.3% of the Astros wins in 2026.
Hunter Brown has made two starts and he is fourth on this list after 67 games. Incredible.
MLB Expected Wins
The data below is through June 7.
Thanks for reading!