Fear and Loathing in Sacramento

Astros split 4 with the Athletics and move on to LA

In some ways splitting 4 games against the A’s is a disappointment, in some ways it’s not.

No matter what MLB team you’re playing, with the exception of the Rockies, it’s difficult to win 3 of 4.

I felt like they were playing with house money last night after winning with Jason Alexander and they were right there…until they weren’t.

Take 2 of 3 against the Angels and all is good.

Or at least decent.

Expected Wins, Projected Standings and Should Be Standings

After peaking at 94 yesterday, the loss and 2-run margin takes the xWins back to 93.

Things are going pretty good in June with a +7 wins through the 19th.

The Astros are more than a third of a game below where they “should be”, but then again, it’s hard to win 0.36 of a game.

In short, they are what their record says they are.

Even with the loss last night, the full season projected standings have the Astros winning the West easily.

Batter and Pitcher Season Projections

Quality At-Bats

Team average is 39.2%

In Order Innings (Relievers)

Abreu struggles in this category.

Quality Starts

Record by Starting Pitcher

Rando Stats of the Day

The Astros have a 107 wRC+ for the season and a 115 wRC+ in June.

Jose Altuve ranks 27th among left fielders with -3 Outs Above Average and 32nd with -3 runs prevented.

Hunter Brown’s Fastball Run Value is in the 99th percentile and his average exit velocity allowed (85.7 MPH) is in the top 3% of MLB.

As always, thanks for reading!