Gloom, Despair and Agony
Astros drop 2 of 3 in Minneapolis
Early in the season the bats were on fire and the pitching was the worst in MLB.
51 games in the bats have gone silent (or are injured) and the arms a tad better, but still putrid.
Welcome to the 2026 Houston Astros.
But over the long term, run prevention is an important thing and turning a potential 2-0 loss into an 8-0 loss tells you something about your club and it’s not good.
Updated Projections
The Astros have gone 5-8 over the last 13 games, rolling along with a 67 wRC+ in that span, which was 28th in the league, while scoring just 33 runs for an average of 2.5 runs per game, while slashing .200/.267/.326.
The pitching staff was improved during the same timeframe: 3.95 ERA, including 4.21 for the starters and 3.48 for the bullpen.
Record by Starting Pitcher
The Astros drop to 2-8 in Mike Burrows starts.
Quality Starts
Two quality starts last week is a slight improvement, but the Astros are on pace for 36 quality starts, just over half of the number they had last season.
Game Scores
Great job by Alexander in his first of the season.
Realizing those numbers may not mean much to some readers, I’m attempting to present them in a format that is easier to understand.
So, I’ve taken the scores and converted them into letter grades, as you’d get in school.
This is a work in progress, not a final output, as you’re seeing me work through it in real time.
Win Shares (not fWAR)
Add all these together, and you get a net of 19, which is the number of wins the Astros currently have.
Yordan continues to pace the field, with Walker also playing well.
Both Correa and Altuve on the IL is depressing.
Astros Expected Wins
1-2 against the Twins, but outscored 11-6.
AL West Expected Wins
Coming dangerously close to projecting 100 losses.
MLB Expected Wins
This data does NOT include the 7 Thursday games.
Thanks for reading!