Projected Standings - July 17, 2025

0 100-Win Projections

It wasn’t that long ago that we had multiple 100-win projections, including totals of 106 and 104.

We mentioned those numbers would likely shrink as the summer wore on and injuries and fatigue mounted.

That’s been the case as there are currently 0 teams on a 100-win trajectory.

The first three teams listed for each league are projected division winners by both me and by Fangraphs.

I’ve included the % FG gives for each to win their division.

The next three have playoff odds in parentheses.

American: Tigers (96.6%), Yankees (45.0%), Astros (73.9%), Blue Jays (83.8% to make playoffs), Red Sox (55.3% to make playoffs), Mariners (72.0% to make playoffs).

National: Cubs (63.5%), Dodgers (94.2%), Phillies (58.5%), Brewers (83.1% to make playoffs), Mets (85.0% to make playoffs), Padres (48.8% to make playoffs)/Giants (45.0% to make playoffs).