Yes, the Astros split four games with the Rays to conclude a 7-3 10-game homestand, with the outcomes being wildly different.
A 13-3 loss followed by a 2-1 win, followed by a 16-3 drubbing, followed by a 1-0 win, left the Astros with a 2-2 record and a -21 run differential in the four games.
If you understand how our expected win totals and projected standings work, you know that’s not good news.
The two one-run wins push the Astros’ “luck” to the positive, meaning they have 0.29 wins more than they “should” have.
Batter and Pitcher Season Projections
Who’s Hot/Not May Edition
Record by Starting Pitcher
Rando Stats of the Day
Hunter Brown has 8 wins, the Colorado Rockies have 9 wins.
Cam Smith is slashing .217/.288/.300 with a 70 OPS+ on the road in 66 plate appearances. The Astros have 6 road games this week.
As a team, the Astros are slashing .226/.291/.355 with an 86 OPS+ on the season.
Houston is 10-15 on the road this season.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 13-16 at home, while the Cleveland Guardians are 17-11 in Cleveland.
Only 3 Astros have an OPS+ of 100 or greater on the road this season: Jake Meyers (178), Isaac Paredes (116) and Mauricio Dubon (100).
Players that have struggled on the road (OPS+): Christian Walker (41), Jose Altuve (54), Brendan Rodgers (54), Yainer Diaz (56) and Cam Smith (70).
As always, thanks for reading.