Stuck at Six

Astros go 1-9 on longest trip of season and have had 6 wins for more than a week

The worst Astros baseball in at least a decade has the Astros in last place in the AL West and playing arguably the ugliest baseball in MLB.

There’s not much to say other than what Carlos Correa said post-game on Monday.

I would say the bright side is that the Rockies and Cardinals are dead ahead, but the Rockies contributed mightily to this spiral, taking all three last week in Colorado.

But we’re not just fans in good times. We’re here for the bad, too.

As Pat Green once sang, “Life would be awfully boring if the good times were all that we had.”

Updated Projections

We are now 10.5% of the way through the season; it’s still early, but it’s certainly time to be concerned about the injuries.

Maybe it wasn’t Jeremiah Randall’s fault after all.

The Sugar Land Shuffle is in full effect, with the yoyo of J.P. France, Christian Roa, and anyone else available.

Record by Starting Pitcher

Colton Gordon will get his shot at breaking the streak tonight.

Quality Starts

Quality starts feel like a pipe dream at this point.

The chart below is a clear warning about not-so-good things.

Game Scores

The team average has dropped from 45.4 to 40.6 since we last talked, down to 20% below the MLB average (50) over the 4 games in Seattle.

Realizing those numbers may not mean much to some readers, I’m attempting to present them in a format that is easier to understand.

So, I’ve taken the scores and converted them into letter grades, as you’d get in school.

17 Starts: 2 A+, 1 A, 1 B, 2 C, and 11 F.

This is a work in progress, not a final output, as you’re seeing me work through it in real time.

Win Shares (not fWAR)

Add all these together, and you get 6, which is the number of wins the Astros currently have.

Unfortunately, I didn’t have to change the sentence above since the second consecutive update.

Astros Expected Wins

Early-season volatility is crazy. At this stage, this is nothing but laying the groundwork for a 162-game slog.

AL West Expected Wins

Rangers and Mariners seize the lead.

Thanks for reading!