There For The Taking

Astros Futility Continues

Just when you think it couldn’t get any worse, it has gotten worse.

The Astros were swept and outscored 18-2 in three games in Detroit, while slashing .147/.214/.211 with a .196 wOBA, 21 wRC+ and -0.6 fWAR with the bats and a 5.96 ERA, 5.76 FIP and 5.45 xFIP.

That means for the last two series combined, the numbers are a slash of .148/.220/.194 with a .185 wOBA, 11 wRC+ and -1.6 fWAR, along with a 6.31 ERA, 5.14 FIP and 4.90 xFIP.

Expected Wins, Should Be Standings and Projected Standings

A new low (since June 10) in expected wins for the Astros (second graph below).

An extra-inning and one-run loss all in one game reduces not only the Astros luck, but also their lead in the Should Be standings.

If the wins and losses and run differential continue at the current rate, we would expect the final AL West Standings to look like this:

None of the three is up and to the right since August 10.

Batter and Pitcher Season Projections

Regression is beginning to show in the season-long projections.

Quality At-Bats

Sanchez and Melton continue to struggle.

Team average is 38.9,

Rando Stats of the Day

Since the trade deadline, the Astros are slashing .226/.292/.357 with a .285 wOBA and 81 wRC+. That ranks the team 25th in average and OBP, 27th in slugging and 26th in wOBA and wRC+.

In that same period, the pitching staff has recorded a 5.10 ERA, 4.85 FIP (26th) and 4.69 xFIP (29th).

The rotation has an ERA of 4.52, which is 17th in the league and the bullpen rolls in at 5.91, which is 27th in the league since August 1st.

Since his recall on August 11, Jacob Melton is slashing .105/.150/.105 with a .125 wOBA, -30 wRC+ and 47.6% K rate.

Victor Caratini is 0 for his last 21.

As always, thanks for reading!