Updated Projections - 10 of 162

Chas homers and knocks in 4, upping projections

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 6.2% Preseason Projections: 93.8%

Season Projections

Chas McCormick’s big day changes his projections on home runs and RBI.

Hunter Brown projections are starting to reflect this season and should continue to increase as innings are accumulated.

K Prop

With Pittsburgh striking out 25.2% of the time and Framber on the mound, my number is at 6.40, which is higher than the market number of 6.0. I would strongly consider taking the over.

Odds

I wouldn’t touch the Astros at -196, but would bet the Astros -1.5 -113 with Framber on the mound and a fairly rested bullpen.

Bullpen Usage

Abreu should be the only bullpen arm down today.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

Framber has limited experience against current Pirates and Roansy Contreras has 0 experience against current Astros.

Projected Standings

Just to show you how wonky these still are, I present the AL West.

No, I do not expect the Angels to win 103 games or the A’s to win 24. This is how they’ve played to date, though.

Wondering why the Mariners are on pace to win 21 games less than the Angles and only finish 20 games behind? Rounding.

May not mean anything note of the day

Alex Bregman’s wRC+ of 25 is the lowest of anyone on the team not named Cesar Salazar and Bregman’s OPS+ is 19.

Astros 162

Click on the image for Episode 10.

Thanks for reading!