Composition of Projections:
2023 Actuals: 1.2 %
Preseason Projections: 98.8%
K Prop
My model has been right on the market coming in at 5.89 for Framber, when the market was at 5.5, then coming in at 5.66 for Javier when the market was at 6.
Same today as the model shows Urquidy at 4.85 and the market is at 4.5.
It’s a stay away for me at this point.
Odds
The Astros are -130 today which implies a 56.5% chance of winning. Looking at the pitching matchup below, perhaps the under 8 total is the play.
Bullpen Usage
Back to back days to start the season for Abreu and Montero.
Today’s Pitching Matchup
Projected Standings
Coming soon.
May not mean anything note of the day
Jake Meyers looks a bit lost at the plate. We’re only 2 games in, but he’s 0 for 6 with 4 strikeouts (and a walk).
It’s more than that though, as he just doesn’t look like a threat in most at-bats.
Astros 162
Click on the image for the latest episode.
Thanks for reading!