Composition of Projections:
2023 Actuals: 14.8%
Preseason Projections: 85.2%
Season Projections
Mauricio Dubon continues to hit and his projections continue to rise.
Phil Maton has been phenomenal. See note below.
Today’s Pitching Matchup
Another pitcher the Astros have little experience against.
Bullpen Usage
Given the off day tomorrow, I would think everyone is available, though Maton has pitched in 3 of last 5 games.
K Prop
I’ve hit 4 in a row, but today is a BE CAREFUL day because while I have Brown comfortably over the 5.5 offered, my number is skewed a bit by the fact that the sample size is tiny at 11 PAs. That said, Brown has struck out some of the best Rays, so if you’re willing to take a chance, the over is the way to go.
Odds
Astros are +114. Very reasonable price given the pitching matchup, but I’d stay away without Yordan in the lineup.
Projected Standings
Projecting to 98 wins with the schedule the Astros have played is not a bad thing.
May not mean anything note of the day
Phil Maton has a WHIP of 0.257.
Astros 162
Click on the image for Episode 24.
Thanks for reading!