Updated Projections - 29 of 162

2 wins costs 2 starting pitchers

Marty Coleman

May 02, 2023

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 17.9%

Preseason Projections: 82.1%

Season Projections

Mauricio Dubon continues to do crazy good things.

Great job by Bielak.

Bullpen Usage

Could be an interesting night with Pressly and Montero coming off back to backs.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

Just about zero experience against opponents for either guy.

K Prop

Unfortunately the under hit, but today is a no-play as I have Brown at 6.41 and the number is 6.50.

Odds

Astros are —180 and that would only return $55.56 on a $100 bet. To me this is iffy, given we have no history of either pitcher against either team. Advantage Astros, but be careful.

Projected Standings

We turn the page to May, and I expect some regression from Texas by the end of the month.

May not mean anything note of the day

Astros bullpen is 5th in ERA (2.97) and 3rd in xFIP (3.76) among MLB bullpens.

Astros 162

Click on the image for Episode 29.

Thanks for reading!