Updated Projections - 33 of 162

The one that got away

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 20.4%

Preseason Projections: 79.6%

Taylor Motter threw this ball to my son after the end of an inning in Corpus in 2019 when he was playing for Midland

Season Projections

Chas and Brantley will reportedly be available for the Angels series, so changes are coming.

Blanco has been optioned to Sugar Land and, as with the batters with no MLB experience, France’s numbers will be a simple calculation based on 2023 stats/team games played.

Astros 162

Click on the image for Episode 33.

Bullpen Usage

Four arms, 2 high leverage, used in Saturday’s loss.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

Bielak has good numbers against Mariners in a small sample size and Bryce Miller has no experience against Astros.

K Prop

The market is at 4.5 and because this is Bielak’s first start of the season, I’m staying away.

Odds

The Astros are +110, which tempts me, but ultimately it’s not strong enough to gamble money - no bet for me.

Projected Standings

Despite the loss, the Astros are currently projected in second place, largely due to run differential.

May not mean anything note of the day

Alex Bregman is slashing .105/.190/.263 in May.

Thanks for reading!