Updated Projections - 41 of 162

Bullpen excelling on the field and in advanced metrics

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 25.3%

Preseason Projections: 74.7%

Season Projections

Nice day for Jose Abreu and Mauricio Dubon, with a big home run from Bregman.

Great job by the bullpen after a rare bad start from Framber.

Astros 162

Click on the image for Episode 41.

Bullpen Usage

Back to back for both Martinez and Neris (first of year for Neris)

Today’s Pitching Matchup

Interesting matchup, Steele is 6-0 with a 1.82 ERA who is allowing a lot of soft contact.

K Prop

The number for Javier is 7.5 and I come in at 8.02, but that’s with a small sample size. It’s risky, but I would go over, if I were to bet this one at all.

Odds

Astros are -166 or +126 -1.5 runs. Not sure either is worth it the way this team is playing, so I’d stay away.

Projected Standings

The Rangers got taken down a notch and the Astros and Mariners are playing footsie.

May not mean anything note of the day

The Astros bullpen is 5th in ERA [3.21], 1st in xFIP [3.64], 1st in Stuff+ [117] and 1st in Pitching+ [105].

Thanks for reading!