Composition of Projections:
2023 Actuals: 29.0%
Preseason Projections: 71.0%
Season Projections
Yordan is on an incredible pace for RBI.
Another quality start. Astros are now 18-4 when getting a quality start.
Parker Mushinski debuts this season, both on the mound and in our projections.
Astros 162
Click on the image for Episode 47.
Bullpen Usage
With Martinez, Mushinski and Stanek eating an inning apiece and Framber’s complete game, the bullpen is in good shape for the final two before an off day on Thursday.
Today’s Pitching Matchup
No history to speak of, which means…
K Prop
No history for J.P. France against Brewers means no bet for me on the 4.5 market number.
Odds
Astros -130 seems a bit steep for a team that’s struggled to score for 47 games and has a rookie pitcher on the mound, but I’d take it AND the -1.5 at +118.
Projected Standings
I look up and all of a sudden my model shows 99 wins for the Astros.
May not mean anything note of the day
Jose Abreu’s ISO Power of .040 is 166th of 168 qualified batters. This means 4% of his at-bats result in extra-base hits.
Thanks for reading!