Updated Projections - 55 of 162

The sounds of silence

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 34.0%

Preseason Projections: 66.0%

Season Projections

The offense is not the same without Altuve at the top.

Stanek takes the projected ERA lead with another scoreless inning.

Astros 162

Click on the image for Episode 55.

Bullpen Usage

Mushinski and Martinez are likely down for multiple days, but that’s what they’re there for.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

Depending on the site you look at the Astros are either starting Framber or a roster move is pending. Since I’m unable to pull stats for someone not on the roster I’m going to pretend it’s Framber.

K Prop

I’m seeing a number of 5.5 at one book, which I don’t understand because Framber has averaged facing 26 batters per start, has struck out 26.9% of batters and 32% of the Angels roster, which brings me to at least 7.5. Over.

Odds

It bit me last night, but I feel the same about Astros -205. It doesn’t offer a lot of return, but Astros -1.5 +100 is the way I would go, with the same reasoning. The Astros have played only 9 one-run games, the fewest in MLB. If they lose it doesn’t matter anyway and if they win there’s a high likelihood it’s by more than one.

Projected Standings

On 5.1 I had the Astros at 93 wins. After a 17-10 May, they’re up to 96.

May not mean anything note of the day

In his last 5 games of May, Jeremy Pena slashed .353/.500/.824 with a .538 wOBA, 255 wRC+ and 0.5 WAR.

Thanks for reading!