Composition of Projections:
2023 Actuals: 40.7%
Preseason Projections: 59.3%
Season Projections
Sunday’s lineup is the worst I can remember in recent memory. Can’t continue to throw games away with the way the Rangers are playing.
Altuve is now projected under 100 games, between injuries and “rest”.
Matt Gage is back.
Astros 162
Click on the image for Episode 66.
Bullpen Usage
The off day means at least consecutive days off for everyone except for Gage and Montero.
Today’s Pitching Matchup
No experience for Brown vs. Nationals.
K Prop
No history means no bet for me, but the number for Brown is 5.5.
Check out Brian’s Orange Fire. I agree largely with his take on how to approach losses with the caveat of “to each his own”. Fans react differently and that’s OK, but it’s a reasoned approach.
Odds
Astros -270 is a no-go, but I don’t mind Astros -1.5 at -126.
Projected Standings
Streaking A’s.
May not mean anything note of the day
Hunter Brown’s xERA (3.50) is lower than his actual ERA of 3.69.
Brown’s + Numbers: Stuff+ 106 Location+ 102 Pitching+ 103
Thanks for reading!