Updated Projections - 67 of 162

4 homers and 7 shutout

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 41.4%

Preseason Projections: 58.6%

Season Projections

4 solo home runs and 9 total hits. Jose Abreu continues to hit the ball well and is on pace for 72 RBI, though the projection below still has him in the high 80s. Expect those two numbers to come closer together, likely in the middle, during the summer.

At what point to the Astros consider options other than Brandon Bielak?

Astros 162

Click on the image for Episode 67.

or listen directly below:

Bullpen Usage

Another efficient outing by Maton. He’s having quite the season. Three days off for Neris and Pressly (Stanek on bereavement list).

Today’s Pitching Matchup

Have to like the Astros chances with Framber on the mound and hey, Hector Neris has an at-bat against Josiah Gray.

K Prop

Framber is set at 6.5, my number is at 5.78, which means I’ll take the under.

Check out Brian’s Orange Fire. I agree largely with his take on how to approach losses with the caveat of “to each his own”. Fans react differently and that’s OK, but it’s a reasoned approach.

Odds

Again, Astros -245 is too rich for me, but I don’t mind Astros -1.5 at -115.

Projected Standings

Streaking A’s.

May not mean anything note of the day

Mauricio Dubon’s fWAR [1.1] is higher than Kyle Tucker’s [0.9].

Last season Rafael Montero threw his changeup 19.4% of the time and hitters slashed .133/.161/.183 on the pitch.

This season Montero is using the pitch 23.1% of the time and opponents are slashing .344/.390/.531 on the pitch.

In 2022 the pitch had these ratings: Stuff+ 102 Location+ 117 and Pitching+ 114.

This season those numbers are: Stuff+ 67 Location+ 115 and Pitching+ 113.

Thanks for reading!