Updated Projections - 73 of 162

It's getting ugly out there

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 45.1%

Preseason Projections: 54.9%

Season Projections

5 hits last night.

Dubin debuts.

Astros 162

Click on the image for Episode 73.

or listen directly below:

Bullpen Usage

Two games till the off day with Valdez and Javier on the mound should equal good news.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

I like the Astros chances with Valdez on the mound against this version of JV.

K Prop

The number for Valdez is 5.5 and my number is 5.97. I like the over here.

Odds

Astros -146 and +146 -1.5. No bet for me. Verlander doesn’t appear to be the same guy, but the Astros are struggling.

Projected Standings

Now projecting under 90 wins for the Astros.

May not mean anything note of the day

In 9 home starts Framber Valdez has a 2.02 ERA, but a 2-4 record.

In his last outing against the Nationals, Framber threw 15.8% changeups, which is the highest % of changeups he’s thrown since April 10 at Pittsburgh and the first time he threw double digit % of changeups since May 3 against the Giants.

Thanks for reading!