Composition of Projections:
2023 Actuals: 45.7%
Preseason Projections: 54.3%
Season Projections
Just enough offense.
5 relievers projected over 60 appearances and another at 59.
Astros 162
Click on the image for Episode 74.
or listen directly below:
Bullpen Usage
Looks to be in good shape and Pressly might be able to go again with an off day tomorrow.
Today’s Pitching Matchup
Tylor Megill has not faced any current Astro.
K Prop
The number for Javier is 5.5 and my number is 6.08. I like the over here.
Odds
Astros -158 and +125 -1.5. I like both of these. The Astros have only played 15 one-run games out of 74 (20.3%).
Projected Standings
In actual standings, Astros pick up a game on the Rangers and Angels.
May not mean anything note of the day
Cristian Javier’s fastball is down 1.2 MPH from 2022. Last year batters slashed .183/.282/.326 on the pitch. This season opponents are slashing .241/.304/.414 on Javier’s four-seamer. His Whiff% and K% on the pitch are also down year over year.
Thanks for reading!