Updated Projections - 77 of 162

What just happened?

Marty Coleman

Jun 25, 2023

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 47.5%

Preseason Projections: 52.5%

Season Projections

The offense was not the problem last night.

Neris takes the lead in lowest projected ERA.

Astros 162

Click on the image for Episode 77.

or listen directly below:

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Bullpen Usage

Have to imagine Abreu, Neris and Stanek down today.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

Very little experience for either starter against their opponent.

K Prop

The number for Brown is 5.5. Limited history, no bet for me, but I’d lean over.

Odds

Astros +114 and -166 +1.5. No bet for me, but I’d lean Astros, though worried about bullpen depth.

Projected Standings

A virtual tie with the Angels for second in the West.

May not mean anything notes of the day

We mentioned Ronel Blanco’s four-seamer yesterday (oppo slashing .395/.502/.684) after last night those numbers are .378/.514/.756.

Here are the projected stolen bases for the Astros:

For reference, the Astros stole 83 bases on 105 attempts in 2022. That equals about a 14% increase in attempts and an 18% increase in stolen bases year over year.

Thanks for reading!