Updated Projections - Game 119 of 162

Can't stand prosperity

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 73.4%

Preseason Projections: 26.6%

Season Projections

Yordan struggling a bit (see below for details).

Another chance for Framber tonight.

Astros 162

Click on the image for episode 119.

Bullpen Usage

Rarely do we see the usage out of the bullpen that we saw on Sunday, with Dusty mixing and matching mid-inning.

Fascinating.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

Really good numbers for Framber vs. the Marlins.

K Prop

The number for Valdez is 5.5 and I come in at 6.20, telling me to take the over. I’ve missed the last two badly, what do I know?

Odds

The Astros are -148, which equates to a 59.68% implied win probability and have Framber on the mound.

The run line drops down to a 45.64% probability with my numbers, so Astros on MoneyLine only today.

Projected Standings

Luck Rankings

May not mean anything notes of the day

Yordan’s last 8 games: .125/.200/.219 .193 wOBA 15 wRC+ (35 PA)

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Since August 1:

8-4 record

Team ERA: 3.34 Starters ERA: 4.24 Relievers ERA: 1.54

Batters: .262/.355/.427 w/.343 wOBA 17 HR 120 wRC+

Thanks for reading!