Updated Projections - Game 157 of 162

Vintage Verlander

Marty Coleman

Sep 26, 2023

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 96.9%

Preseason Projections: 3.1%

Season Projections

Clutch hitting by Dubon and blasts by Alvarez and Tucker.

Vintage Verlander.

Bullpen Usage

One arm used in big win.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

Advantage Mariners and Javier, outside of his last outing, has struggled since before the All-Star Break.

Projected Standings

The Astros need a split in the last two games at a minimum.

Luck Rankings

When pondering one’s fate in the luck ratings, one should always consider the San Diego Padres who are 0-12 in extra-innings and 7-23 in one-run games.

May not mean anything notes of the day

Cristian Javier since All-Star Break:

12S 60.0IP 51H 36R 34ER 67K 32BB 1 HR 5.10ERA

Yordan Alvarez since All-Star Break:

232PA .317/.435/.598 w/.435wOBA 13HR 41RBI 184wRC+ 178OPS+ 34BB 33K

Mauricio Dubon with RISP:

106 PA .303/.321/.384

Mauricio Dubon with a runner on 3rd:

13 PA .385/.385/.385

August/September

Record: 26-24

Team ERA: 4.37 Starters ERA: 5.12 Relievers ERA: 3.16

Batters: .277/.356/.481 w/.359 wOBA 81 HR 131 wRC+

September Only

Record: 9-13

Team ERA: 4.45 Starters ERA: 5.22 Relievers ERA: 3.218

Batters: .264/.340/.490 w/.354 wOBA 40 HR 127 wRC+

Thanks for reading!