Updated Projections - Game 93 of 162

That took a turn

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 57.4%

Preseason Projections: 42.6%

Editor’s Note

Long night last night, both game and health-wise. Likely to be a short one for the next couple of days.

Season Projections

Big night for a couple of bats, as Abreu re-takes the projected lead in hits and Chas continues his hot summer [more below].

With a chance to win the series this evening, let’s hope Javier is ready to roll.

Astros 162

Have not done game 92 or 93 yet, but this will be updated a couple of times per week while I am recovering/rehabbing.

Bullpen Usage

Four bullpen arms with back-to-back days right off the All-Star break.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

NOTE: I’ve sorted these by wOBA against to make it easier to determine who to watch for (or bet on, if you are so inclined).

Javier has decent numbers against Angels not named Ohtani, but is difficult to trust at this point.

The Astros have stellar numbers against Tyler Anderson.

K Prop

The number for Javier is 4.5. and like Framber, Javier has plenty of history that suggests over is the way to go. My number is 6.47, comfortably over. I will throw out this warning, though: Javier has not looked the same recently, so take it at your own risk.

Odds

Astros are -130 on ML and +126 -1.5. After last night’s debacle, it’s tough to lay money on this team, but the numbers are too good. I’m taking both.

Projected Standings

Just the AL West today.

May not mean anything notes of the day

• Since June 1:

  • Chas McCormick is slashing .323/.409/.542 with 5 HR 15 RBI 5 SB .410 wOBA and 167 wRC+ in 110 plate appearances.

  • Jose Abreu is slashing .295/.322/.504 with 7 HR and 29 RBI and 124 wRC+ in 149 plate appearances.

  • Yainer Diaz is slashing .289/.304/.554 with 8 HR 17 RBI and 132 wRC+ in 125 plate appearances.

  • Kyle Tucker is slashing .324/.404/.532 with 6 HR and 27 RBI and a 157 wRC+

  • Corey Julks is slashing .296./377/.435 with 3 HR 9 SB and a 131 wRC+.

  • Team Batting: .256/.322/.430 with .326 wOBA and 108 wRC+

  • Team ERA: 4.41 Starter’s ERA: 4.40 Bullpen ERA: 4.42

    Thanks for reading!