You Keep Me Hangin' On

After dropping 2 of 3 to Seattle, Astros have opportunity to open up the West

If you missed it, yesterday we updated the playoff odds, expected wins and AL West projections.

Today, we focus on player projections, quality starts, record by starting pitcher, and August wRC+.

We didn’t update win shares, because there has only been one win since our last update. Look for that next Monday.

First up, the batters.

Yordan projecting to 40 home runs, 101 RBI, and a 1.035 OPS and has upped the projected plate appearances to 632.

Of note - the team homer projection from me is down to 188, after being around 200 for a good chunk of the season. The team is “on pace” for 218 home runs.

For my current projection to come true the Astros would have to hit just 20 home runs in their last 37 games - unlikely.

For the 218 to come true the Astros would need to hit 50 home runs in their last 37 games - very possible - this is their pace through the first 125 games.

As the games tick away these two numbers will diverge and I’m of the opinion it’ll be closer to 218 than 188.

Blanco optioned after a particularly bad bullpen outing and Ullola recalled, but who knows for how long.

Instability in your rotation is not something you want down the stretch run, but here we are, with Ethan Pecko apparently and option.

August wRC+ Check-In

The team has a 100 wRC+ so far in August.

A slight pullback from Yordan, but, I mean, he’s still rocking a 137 for the first half of August.

I found some interesting trends when I look at this stat month by month, that I plan to publish soon.

Record by Starting Pitcher

Peter Lambert, Ace of Staff.

Quality Starts

Game Scores and Starter Grades

MLB xWins through August 16

Next updates will probably be next Monday and Tuesday.

Thanks for reading!