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Rainbow Roxy's avatar

Regarding the topic of the article, your analysys about the Mariners' projections is really insightful. How much confidence do you place in fWAR models this early in the season?

Marty Coleman's avatar

It’s all relative. I explained here https://www.crawfordstreetjournal.com/p/why-we-cant-trust-fwar-projections why I don’t think we can trust them, but if the Mariners are too high so are the Astros, etc.

I’d favor the Mariners by 7 or so games as it stands, but one injury could change that.