Updated Projections - 48 of 162

It had to end sometime

Composition of Projections:

2023 Actuals: 29.6%

Preseason Projections: 70.4%

Season Projections

Putrid offensive day.

We can’t ask much more from J.P. France than he’s given and Rafael Montero’s struggles continue.

Astros 162

Click on the image for Episode 48.

Bullpen Usage

Mushinski got up last night, but only Maton and Montero were used.

Today’s Pitching Matchup

I would think slight advantage Brewers, but not much history on either side.

K Prop

4.5 market number, which feels like a default, but I’m not betting this with no history for Bielak.

Odds

Astros -108 is also a no-bet. Altuve left early and it would be Dusty-like to give him today off since tomorrow is an off day and with 17 straight games ahead it wouldn’t shock me if some combination of regulars also got a day.

In general, as a bettor, you should be wary of “get-away-day” games.

Projected Standings

Astros take a step back.

May not mean anything note of the day

J.P. France’s Stuff+ is 107 and Pitching+ is 104. Brandon Bielak’s Stuff+ is 82 and Pitching+ is 94.

Thanks for reading!